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A new report from The Linley Group shows that, among communications
semiconductor vendors, Broadcom had the most successful year
in 2005, gaining share in key markets while maintaining its
market lead in others. Overall, the company ranked number-one
in the wired communications market, including Ethernet chips,
broadband chips, network processors, communications processors,
and other network-interface chips.
Ethernet
In 2005, the Gigabit Ethernet (GE) market grew much more quickly
than the overall Ethernet market, as large companies increased
their deployment of Gigabit Ethernet in place of older Fast
Ethernet technology. According to the new report, which
is titled “Networking
Silicon Market Share 2005,” revenue from GE switch chips
increased 55% from 2004 and GE PHY revenue grew 30%. In contrast,
the total Ethernet chip market grew only 3%, reflecting the decline
in Fast Ethernet. The total market for all types of Ethernet chips
was about $780 million in 2005.
This growth in deployment of Gigabit Ethernet favored Broadcom.
The company holds about two-thirds of the market for GE switch
chips and a similar portion of the GE PHY market. As a result,
the company extended its lead in the overall Ethernet chip
market.
At the high end of the market, 10G Ethernet deployment remains
small due to the high cost of 10G optical modules. We expect
10G Ethernet to grow rapidly once copper (10GBase-T) products
appear
in 2007.
Broadband
With the metro and enterprise markets cooling off, broadband
continues to be the biggest driver of growth in wired
communications. Many
developing countries are installing broadband networks,
while other countries are upgrading existing networks greater
bandwidth
and
video support. This growth is creating demand for both
access infrastructure equipment (such as DSLAMs) as well
as customer
premises equipment
(CPE).
Although the DSL chip market saw significant unit growth
in 2005, declining prices resulted in approximately
the same revenue
as
in 2004. Conexant was the top vendor in the DSL market
but achieved little growth. Broadcom, in contrast,
nearly doubled
its DSL
revenue from the previous year and leaped into third
position in this market.
The company is also number-one in chips for cable modems,
although this market is only one-third the size of
the DSL chip market.
Broadcom has been successful mainly in CPE products
rather than in broadband infrastructure. In CPE products
such
as modems and
gateways, the company can integrate its other technologies
such as wireless LAN (802.11), voice-over-IP (VoIP),
security, and
Ethernet switches. Competitors such as Texas Instruments,
Infineon, and
Conexant are also developing highly integrated broadband
processors.
Passive optical networking (PON) is a small but rapidly
growing broadband alternative. Although the revenue
from PON chips
more than doubled in 2005 from the previous year,
the total was still
only $80 million, less than 6% of the total broadband
chip market.
PMC-Sierra recently acquired Passave, the leading
PON-chip vendor with about 50% market share. PMC
plans to add
its CPU and VoIP
technology to these PON chips to produce integrated
PON processors for CPE. So far, none of the leading
DSL vendors
has PON
technology, so PMC is in a strong position to maintain
its share as the
PON market continues to grow.
Processors
The report combines general-purpose communications
processors, such as Freescale’s PowerQuicc, with application-specific
communications processors, which typically integrate a standard
interface such as DSL or WLAN. Although Freescale has historically
been the leading vendor of communications processors, Broadcom
for the first time surpassed Freescale in this segment, driven
by strong growth in its DSL and WLAN processors.
The network-processor market grew only 7.5%
in 2005, much less than expected, and remains
less
than $200
million. In this
situation, many vendors are losing share
as they lose focus
on this market.
Exceptions include Wintegra, a startup that
is the leading vendor of NPUs for access
equipment; Agere,
which successfully
launched
a line of NPUs for access equipment, challenging
Wintegra; and Bay Microsystems, a startup
that is the leading
vendor of high-end
NPUs.
The data shows that the companies that are
leaders in large but high-growth markets—such as DSL and Gigabit Ethernet—generate
the most revenue growth. But within a few years, growth in these
segments will slow or even stop. Emerging technologies such as
VDSL, PON, and 10G Ethernet will become the new growth drivers.
Companies that achieve a strong position in these emerging markets
will be in position for rapid growth in the coming years.
Originally published in Nikkei
Electronics Asia, June
2006
© 2002-2006 The Linley Group
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